The stock price has a long way to fall yet (
IMHO), tomorrow will see an early start to the selling of the shares.
The tide has changed for the stock, initally when the crisis hit, the withdrawals were at a managable level, indeed some would have said below what would have been expected BUT the weekend has been a hinderence to them, articles in the Sundays have not been encouraging, people have had time to reflect.
Everyone is now talking about a takeover, the chairman (or MD) has even hinted that the bank has no future as it stands. Any offer from a rival will be low to begin with, as such (I believe) the pension funds and major share holders who hold stakes in the bank will be looking to offload their stock for as much as they can.
I would have thought that the share price will fall by at least another 25-35% at least before any bid comes in.
Remember, any offer will be purely based on the debt the bank holds because there is no value in the brand or in the savers who are pulling their money out as I type and giving it to any potential bidder for FREE.
With further increases in the base rate expected, why would anyone look at borrowing funds to buy what will become a purely debt based business unless the stock price is such that its a bargain not to be missed. At the moment the share price isn't at that level.
But there again, what do I know, I sell trousers for a living